The Russian Invasion of Ukraine

We are on the verge of another world war, probably the third world war.

Yes, The Russia-Ukraine War

The Russian aggression on Ukraine began on February 24, 2022. After months of terrorizing military maneuvers and negotiations in bad faith, on 24 February 2022, Russia undertook an all-out assault on Ukraine.

AccoAccordingthe to recent stats,

Around

At least 29,916 people have died

While in Non-fatal injuries covers At least 53,616 people

People who are Displaced

Approximately 14M people

Buildings destroyed

At least 140,000

Property damage

Approximately US$350B

 Raids by Russian squads were registered in major cities across Ukraine, including Berdyansk, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, Sumy, and the capital Kyiv. Western officials asserted that to an extent, the war could be the largest in Europe since 1945. 

Towards the end of 2021, Russia deployed more than 100.000 troops near its border, which has dramatically increased to almost 190,000.

This year In June, the Ukrainian capital “Kyiv“ was hit by missiles.

The estimated stats at that time say that hundreds of thousands got killed in this on both sides, and many were homeless. It is assumed to be the most brutal war after the second world war. It is said that almost 7.6 Million Ukrainians are fleeing the country.

History 

To know the situation better, we must go back to history.

Ukraine’s border meets Russia and European countries from its borders.

In 1991 Ukraine became independent because the Soviet Union splintered into many new nations.

Ukraine was among the largest of them after Russia among the neighborhood. Its longest border attaches to Russia.

Ukraine w, with its expansion in the area, is the second number while Russia is number 1. The major Religion here in Ukraine is Christianity, and the official language is Ukrainian. But more than 70% of the population speaks the Russian language

 Its population was 52 Million at that time and was spread over 1200 Km from Eart to West. It essentially came under farming land.

In the same year, they had their first election in which the people had to decide about its direction for the future.

In 2004, Hungry, Poland, and Slovakia merged into the European Union, which gave rise to anti-Russia or favor of it had become a critical discussion. The” Orange Revolution” was another turning point in their history.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mt1OXtxUBNo

In 2014, Russia attacked Ukraine when its Russian-favored president was laid off after a public movement. Their Rufavored Russian resident refused to attach to the Europian union because he wanted to get close to Moscow. Because of these protests, the president had to leave his office. Russia took hold of Crimea,d Luhansk & Donetsk in this attack. And in addition, Russia started favoring the Nazis. These selected Nazis of Russia got control over Donestk and Luhansk, And this war has been going on since 2014. This has killed more than 14000 people in Occupied Ukraine’s territory. In the 2014-2015 Seize-fir,e peace prevailed, but the control of Russian-occupied areas was maintained. Until that agreement of Ukraine with the European unions, Russia is never happy with it. And now, even after these fresh attacks, the commoners can keep Weapons for self-defense.

Russia feels that Nato is a threat to its State, increasing its influence over time. Apart from this, Russia is also angry with Ukraine because othePowersrs support him with War weapons and practice with them armed drills. A long deadlock took place, and this time Russia sent above 200,000 soldiers of his to the borders of Ukraine.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U78zTvQGiPM

Although the more powerful nations did not directly participate in these attacks, they banned Russia on different grounds. America has forbidden several banks and a few billionaires considered close companions of the Russian president, “Vladimir Putin.”

Also, Germany has canceled its deal to purchase Gas from Russia. This agreement was said to be Billions of dollars worth.

Worldwide prohibitions have been applied to Russia after its Attack on Ukraine.

Although there raised fears of the Third world war, it can happen. But this very Plae is me to problems, and issues and scenes are rapidly changing.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0olnVHAWWg

The attacks got lots of condemnation from the international community.

The president of the Europian commission also released her official statement on the vicious attacks.

Vladimir Putin unleashed the most significant war in Europe since World War Two with the justification that current, Western-leaning Ukraine was a consistent threat and Russia could not feel "safe, evolve ."d exist."

Russia’s aggression on Ukraine is the most prominent military lobbying in Europe since World War II.

Mr. Putin has described the Soviet breakdown as one of the greatest catastrophes of the 20th century that robbed Russia of its rightful place among the world’s great powers. He has spent 22 years in power rebuilding Russia’s military and reasserting its geopolitical influence.

The Russian president calls NATO’s expansion menacing and the possibility of Ukraine joining it a significant hazard. As Russia has grown stronger militarily, its objections about NATO have grown more raucous. He has repeatedly summoned the specter of American ballistic missiles and combat forces in Ukraine, though U.S., Ukrainian, and NATO officials demand there are none.

Why is Ukraine so important for Vladimir Putin/Russia 

For years, Putin has attempted to reassert control across the former soviet sphere following the demise of the USSR in the early 1990s.

But Ukraine, which sits on Russia’s Western flank, has long been the primary focus. Its vast plains have served as a buffer between European powers and Russian territory.

Its rich agricultural assets have previously benefited the region. As part of the USSR, Ukraine produced much wheat as the Soviet Union consumed. The country’s mineral-rich soil currently yields 10% of the global wheat exports, 14% of corn exports, and half of the world’s sunflower oil. (According to the US departed of agriculture) and it has a wealth of untapped energy supplies. Ukraine holds the second-largest known gas reserves in Europe. Some of these are located on the coast of Crime,  which Russia annexed eight years ago. In the years since, trends, including the growing use of the Ukrainian language instead of Russian, have alarmed the Kremlin.

The 2014 conflict came after the ouster of a pro-Kremlin leader in Kyiv. Moscow saw Ukraine becoming more closely aligned with Western institutes such as NATO and the European Union.

Russia believes it has a historical claim over a significant part of Ukraine, with one State TV report spelling it out using a graphic map. It said the land highlighted was given as a gift from former Soviet leaders. Putin has endorsed that vie.

Vladimir Putin, in his speech to Russia, said that” Russia fully and completely created modern Ukraine”.

Putin has said his objective is to defend speakers in Ukraine, especially those in two self-declared republics of Donetsk and Luhansk, which broke away from Ukraine's control in 2014 and the Russian President recently recognized as independent.

Putin has falsely claimed that Ukraine needs to be liberated from Nazis, a claim that Kyiv vehemently denies, and Putin’s popularity seems on the rise.

His approval rating is 83% upfront from January from 69% previous. According to the Polister Levada. More than 80% of the poll said in a poll that they support the war.

With the invasion of Ukraine, Moscow is seeking to take back some control of its former sphere of influence. 

What were Putin’s aims?

The Russian chief’s initial objective was to overrun Ukraine and substitute its government, concluding for good it is yearning to enter the Western defensive conglomerate Nato. After a month of losses, he ditched his bid to grasp the capital Kyiv and turned his purposes to Ukraine's east and south.

Launching the aggression on 24 February, he recounted to the Russian people his purpose was to "demilitarise and de-Nazify Ukraine". His aim was to rescue people subjected to what he called eight years of bullying and genocide by Ukraine's government. Another objective was soon counted: guaranteeing Ukraine's neutral status.

Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov spoke of disentangling Ukraine from oppression, while foreign intelligence chief Sergei Naryshkin examined that "Russia's future and its future place in the world are at stake."

Ukraine's democratically elected president, Volodymyr Zelensky, said, "the enemy has designated me as target number one; my family is target number two.". His adviser said Russian troops made two attempts to storm the presidential compound.

The capital of Kyiv was the target as the missile hit the Kyiv university outskirts. Around 10-15 people were reported dead. When the people ran towards the nearest safe place, a park, they heard another explosion that hit another major part of the city, the heart of the civilians' business center.

It was sudden as it was brutal. The helpless people of Ukraine witnessed a full-scale invasion of Russia in the early hours of the day. The Russian president,” Vladimir Putin” announces, “we are left with no choice but a war to defend us against the constant threats from Ukraine.”

Ukraine has imposed martial law as heavy casualties happened on both sides.

“You will face consequences you had never seen before”, says the Russian president to all the countries who want to help Ukraine.

According to the Ukraine Air defense minister, 83 missiles hit the different cities of the country. They claim that almost half of them were intercepted while on the route. 

The Ukrainian president,” Vladimir Zelensky’ issued a video message for the general masses 

He said, “This morning is a difficult one for us, we are dealing with terrorists. Dozens of missiles, and trunks, have entered to damage us. They have two targets.

1. Our Energy Resources

2. Our people.

They want to panic in kales, they want to destroy our energy systems. They are heartless. At this moment these special targets were chosen to charge as much damage as possible. We are Ukrainians, we help each other, and we believe in ourselves. We will restore everything that is being destroyed.”

Effect of War on the international level

The Russia-Ukraine war is having an outsized impact on the global supply chain, impeding the flow of goods, fueling dramatic cost increases and product shortages, and creating catastrophic food shortages around the world, according to experts

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the earth cannot glance away, and vowed to avenge with an unparalleled level of boycotts.

"President Putin has chosen a path of bloodshed and destruction by launching this unprovoked attack on Ukraine," he said. "This is a catastrophe for our continent.”

French President Emmanuel Macron said the events of last night, when Russia began its attack, "mark a turning point in the history of Europe" and France. 

"We will respond to this act of war unwaveringly and with composure, determination, and unity," he said.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said Putin is responsible for bringing the war back to Europe.

"We will target strategic sectors of the Russian economy by blocking their access to key technologies and markets," she said. "We will weaken Russia's economic base and capacity to modernize."

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/world-leaders-condemn-russian-invasion-ukraine-turning-point-history-of-Europe/

The resulting ripple effects are threatening the supply of key food resources like wheat and    

raising the possibility of global famine.                                                                                                               Simultaneously, disruption to the flow of electronics, raw materials, and parts supplies emanating out

 of China and other locales has seriously impeded global trade positions, forcing companies to recalibrate and in some Ukraine and Russia account for about a third of the world’s wheat and a quarter of barley production, not to mention some 75% of the sunflower oil supply — all critical commodities for keeping humans fed. cases, wholly reconsider long-standing supply chains and partner ecosystems.

Is there any possible solution?

There is little sign of any negotiated end to this war in the immediate future.                                                                      A few weeks into the war, Russia said it was considering a Ukrainian proposal of neutrality,                                              but there have been no negotiations since the end of March.

President Putin told the UN Secretary-General at the end of April "we are negotiating, we do not reject [talks]", but he earlier declared negotiations at a dead end. After a meeting with the Russian leader, Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer gave a very downbeat assessment of a man who had entered into a "logic of war".

Ukraine's Volodymyr Zelensky had already accepted that Ukraine would not join Nato: "It's a truth and it must be recognized." But after apparent Russian atrocities came to light in Bucha, Mariupol, and elsewhere, he made it clear there would be no more talks until Russia withdrew from all territories seized since 24 February.

In its offer of neutrality proposed at the end of March, Kyiv said:

• Ukraine would evolve a non-aligned and "non-nuclear" circumstances, with no foreign martial bases or delegations on its territory

• Strict, legally compulsory guarantees would demand other countries to rescue a neutral Ukraine in the circumstance of an attack

• Within three daytimes guarantor states would have to maintain consultations and reach to Ukraine's defense

• Ukraine would be permitted to join the European Union, but would not enter military-political alliances and any transnational activities would demand the support of guarantor states

• The future status of Russian-annexed Crimea would be negotiated over the next 15 years

But neutrality for Vladimir Putin was never likely to be enough.

"Ultimately [Putin] wanted to divide the country and I think it's becoming more evident that's what he wants," says Barbara Zanchetta of King's College London's Department of War Studies.

While the Kremlin wants to annex some areas of Ukraine, Tatiana Stanovaya believes "much more important is the fate of Ukraine: Putin wants to end Ukraine as a current state".

In an interview with the BBC, Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russian officials have started to “prepare their society” for the possible use of nuclear weapons in the war. 

Joe Biden has warned the world could face “Armageddon” if Vladimir Putin uses a tactical nuclear weapon to try to win the war in Ukraine.

The US does not have indications that Russia is preparing to use nuclear weapons imminently, the White House said.

Concluding Statement

The expanded geopolitical hazards generated by the Russian aggression on Ukraine will weigh adversely on global financial conditions throughout 2022. Such developments are evaluated in our instance to reduce GDP and increase inflation especially, heightening the policy trade-offs confronting major banks close the world.